short interview with Donald Passman
November 21st, 2009 @ 15:18
Posted by: John
This is the guy who wrote the book “All You Need to Know About the Music Business”. There’s two chapters. Chapter one; write a best seller about the music business. Chapter two; if that does work, learn to eat shoe leather. They released the 7th edition of his book this last week…. he’s still trying to get it right but at least he’s tryin’, that’s why he’s in the news.
Do you think the rise of do-it-yourself online services like CDBaby, Tunecore, and Sonicbids will lead to a new thriving “middle class” of musicians–folks that aren’t signed to a label, but spend most of their time recording and touring and make a decent living doing it?
Passman: It’s a reality today. If you’re a niche-type artist and you don’t mind staying in your niche, you can make a perfectly good middle-class living that way. If you’re more mainstream, you can use those techniques to build buzz and attract a label. Nobody’s yet had a major career without a label behind them. I’m certain that’s going to change, but for bands that want to be truly international and mainstream, they still need a label.In your book, you mention that you favor unlimited music-streaming–the “celestial jukebox”–as the most likely future business model to succeed. Do you think ad-supported free services (like Imeem or Grooveshark) will ever be viable?
Passman: I’m skeptical that ad-supported music services will work in a major way. People have had a hard time monetizing music to advertisers because the music is so diverse. Advertisers don’t know what type of music they’re going to be associated with, so it’s hard for these services to get high enough CPMs [impression-based advertising rates]. YouTube’s had the same problem: you don’t know what kind of video’s going to pop up next to your advertisement. Free services will probably be a model, but I don’t think they’ll be the model.
Why do you think subscription-based services (such as Rhapsody) haven’t really taken off?
Passman: They’re not convenient enough, they’re not truly cross-platform. For me, the ultimate would be anytime-anywhere access to any music for one subscription. On my computer, in my car, on a connected device, whether it’s an iPod or something else, on an airplane when I don’t have an Internet connection. Not just tied to one or two devices. I’m personally a believer in subscription services. People don’t think twice about paying for cable, and when you stop paying it goes away. But with music, there’s a kneejerk reaction because we’re used to owning it.We hear a lot of doom and gloom about the death of the music industry. Are you still optimistic?
Passman: I’m optimistic in the longer term. Not for the next few years. I think it’ll probably get a little worse, and then we’ll bump along the bottom for a while. I don’t think we’ve hit bottom, and that’s because I see the trends that are happening now. CD sales are declining and will eventually disappear, and retailers are making it happen. They’re cutting back the floor space they devote to CDs, which means less CD sales, which makes them cut back more. But the digital opportunity is huge. We can sell music to people who’ve never gone into a record store, people who never listen to music because they stopped listening to the radio at a certain age will now have access. Unfortunately, we’re not there, technically or legally. The more pain the industry feels, the easier the legal side gets. The better the technology gets, the closer we get to delivering an experience people want.
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